Jarred+Fager

__**Global Warming, how will it affect our winter?**__ As we all know, winter is the favorite month of all the little children of the U.S., but this could be changed... Is global warming affecting the snowfall in the U.S.?

The purpose of this experiment is to find out if global warming is effecting how much snow falls around the US every year. I'm doing an project on the effect that global warming may be having on the snowfall in several areas throughout the world. For this experiment i will be using Peoria, Illinois, Detroit, Michigan, St. Louis, Missouri, Portland, Oregon, and Denver, Colorado, I am using these cities because they are all in different parts of the country, and that will help me to conclude in which areas is global warming taking affect. I will look at the amount of snowfall from 2005-2011, I will look at this data several times just in case of a "fluke" month in which there is no snowfall in that city. I will be looking at the whole year, since it can also snow during the Spring as well, in this experiment I will also look at the average temperature of the month to see that if there was no snowfall because it was hot outside or if it is global warming affecting it. I will also be looking at the total precipitation of September-Feburary in the years 2005-2011 to see that if the temperature affects snowfall will it still be able to affect precipitation.I was interested in this subject because of several reasons, including an essay that Sanjit Rai wrote in 2009 about the affects of global warming.We cited this Rai, Sanjit. "Science Is the Future." // Sciencebuddies.org //. Sciencebuddies.org, 29 May 2009. Web. 28 Nov. 2012. , which is a report by Sanjit Rai talking about global warming. I will be getting my __#|information__ from noaa.gov, I will be using the website majorly in this study. As you know already I will be using cities throughout the USA."National Weather Service __#|Weather Forecast__ Office." // NWS __#|Lincoln__, IL //. Noaa.gov, 8 Jan. 2005. Web. 28 Nov. 2012. ,This cite is peoria's climate from 2005. There are several different areas throughout this page that I can look at but if you look through it you can find the amount of snowfall, which I will be using as my data in this experiment. Lastly, I have been noticing that during the years that there has not been snow in the midwestern states, but that it has been spreading upward to the northeastern states. I would gladly tell you more, but this page J, Samantha. "Snow of the Century! Could Global Warming Really Affect Snowfall."// Nature.com //. Nature Publishing Group, 3 Feb. 2011. Web. 28 Nov. 2012. . Is about the record breaking snow storm in New york, and how if global warming is in full stride, it doesn't seem to be affecting New York just yet. For this project I will only need __#|a computer__, pencil and paper. The computer is for researching information. The pencil and paper are for recording the average temperature of the month, the amount of snowfall, and the year. Alleyne, Richard. "Snow Is Consistent with Global Warming, Says Scientists."//Telegraph.co.uk//. Telegraph, 3 Feb. 2009. Web. 13 Dec. 2012. This is an article of how great britain is going to have the snowstorm of a lifetime, the largest one in 30 years, with up to a foot of snow this article can prove that global warming has ran it's coarse on the US and moved on to Europe. Cook, John. "Does Record Snowfall Disprove Global Warming?" //Does Record Snowfall Disprove Global Warming?// Skepticalscience, 7 Mar. 2010. Web. 13 Dec. 2012. This is an article stating that global warming isn't affecting the snowfall in cites, but it is raising it, he brought up the "Snowmaggedon" snowstorm that happened in Philadelphia. It also gives some statistics on the months. (ex. January was the hottest UAH satellite recording in 2010). Mills, Joaquin. "Global Warming's Snowball Effect |." //RSS//. RSS, 25 Oct. 2010. Web. 13 Dec. 2012. This is an article by Joaquin Mills. It talks about a "snowball effect" that global warming could be having on the planet earth.

My hypothesis is that if there is a decline in the amount of snowfall in this year and it hasn't been affected at all by the temperature, then the decline of snowfall will be caused by global warming.

My procedure: I will go onto the internet and go to Noaa.gov and find the cities in my experiment by simply searching for them, next i will get out a pencil and a data table which includes both temperature, snowfall, and all around precipitation. Then, i will go on to find out all the data including average temp. and snowfall, After i conclude my data search i will compare the average temperatures and the average snowfall to other years, but they can only be compared to each other (ex. Peoria 2005 to Peoria 2006) to see if global warming could be affecting is affecting a certain area. Lastly I will compare other cities to see if global warming is a affecting other cites more than a different city and then I will have my answer.

Peoria, IL Detroit, MI St. Louis, MO
 * Year || Amount of Precipitation || Amount of Snowfall || Average Temperature ||
 * 2005 || 25.42 Inches || 21.3 Inches || 53.5 Degrees ||
 * 2006 || 31.93 Inches || 15.8 Inches || 53.8 Degrees ||
 * 2007 || 37.02 Inches || 26 Inches || 53.2 Degrees ||
 * 2008 || 46.57 Inches || 33.1 Inches || 50.6 Degrees ||
 * 2009 || 54.51 Inches || 37.1 Inches || 50.7 Degrees ||
 * 2010 || 44.14 Inches || 47 Inches || 52.4 Degrees ||
 * 2011 || 39.87 Inches || 33.9 Inches || 52.6 Degrees ||
 * Year || Amount of Precipitation || Amount of Snowfall || Average Temperature ||
 * 2005 || 32.89 Inches || 63.7 Inches || 49.7 Degrees ||
 * 2006 || 39.24 Inches || 28.6 Inches || 52.2 Degrees ||
 * 2007 || 32.67 Inches || 71.7 Inches || 50.9 Degrees ||
 * 2008 || 33.98 Inches || 82.6 Inches || 49.7 Degrees ||
 * 2009 || 34.12 Inches || 65.7 Inches || 49.3 Degrees ||
 * 2010 || 32.89 Inches || 40.5 Inches || 51.9 Degrees ||
 * 2011 || 47.70 Inches || 66.1 Inches || 51.1 Degrees ||
 * Year || Amount of Precipitation || Amount of Snowfall || Average Temperature ||
 * 2005 || 37.85 Inches || 14.8 Inches || 58 Degrees ||
 * 2006 || 29.93 Inches || 11.1 Inches || 58.5 Degrees ||
 * 2007 || 30.57 Inches || 16.6 Inches || 58.3 Degrees ||
 * 2008 || 57.96 Inches || 26.3 Inches || 55.5 Degrees ||
 * 2009 || 50.92 Inches || 12.3 Inches || 56.6 Degrees ||
 * 2010 || 39.07 Inches || 19.3 Inches || 58 Degrees ||
 * 2011 || 47.17 Inches || 30.7 Inches || 58.7 Degrees ||

Portland, OR (This Data was taken off of "PORTLAND WSFO, OREGON." //Climate Summary //. Http://www.wrcc.dri.edu, 29 Oct. 2012. Web. 20 Mar. 2013.) Denver, CO //**__Limitations__**// 1. I had to accomodate for the matter of fact that it could merely just be hot outside, so to prevent a fluke from happening I had to take the average temperature of that year. 2. I had to add a different variable to accomodate for if there is no snow then I added precipitation to allow cities like Portland to be able to compete with these other cities. 3. I should have done cities that were more around the world, but I felt that if I do it within the US it would answer my question easier.
 * Year || Amount of Precipitation || Amount of Snowfall || Average Temperature ||
 * 2005 || 36.12 Inches || 0 Inches || 54.5 Degrees ||
 * 2006 || 43.03 Inches || 0 Inches || 55 Degrees ||
 * 2007 || 32.08 Inches || 0 Inches || 53.8 Degrees ||
 * 2008 || 26.33 Inches || 0 Inches || 53.5 Degrees ||
 * 2009 || 30.53 Inches || 0 Inches || 54.4 Degrees ||
 * 2010 || 46.20 Inches || 0 Inches || 54.1 Degrees ||
 * 2011 || 37.10 Inches || 0 Inches || 53 Degrees ||
 * Year || Amount of Precipitation || Amount of Snowfall || Average Temperature ||
 * 2005 || 12.8 Inches || 30.4 Inches || 51.5 Degrees ||
 * 2006 || 8.64 Inches || 72.6 Inches || 51.7 Degrees ||
 * 2007 || 14 Inches || 46.3 Inches || 51.7 Degrees ||
 * 2008 || 10.21 Inches || 38.1 Inches || 50.3 Degrees ||
 * 2009 || 18.12 Inches || 60.6 Inches || 49.7 Degrees ||
 * 2010 || 12.86 Inches || 22.8 Inches || 51.2 Degrees ||
 * 2011 || 17.31 Inches || 55.6 Inches || 50.6 Degrees ||

//__My new hypothesis:__// If the amount of snowfall is lowering every year, and the temperature has risen in that year, then global warming is the cause of the lack of snowfall in the US. I have chosen this topic for many reasons but I am too interested in it to turn it down.

__**//Conclusion://**__

__#|Thank__ you for reading. Jarred Fager What other pieces of information could you look at besides snow fall ? (Mr. Kerwin) How can you conclude that if it snow's or doesnt snow that its global warming or mealrly just its hot?(iteubel) Nice experiment i'd like to find this out also. But i do agree with Isaac's question, how exactly will you kno w it's because of global warming. (Ayers) All the places are in different places and atmospheres so they probably have different amounts of snow and some years they could have had no snow, how are you going to test the effects of global warming if the variables aren't the same. (bchave) What about the weird years were one year it snows alot then, not for the next two years, and then alot the next year. How would you measure there?-(TAM) Hate to disappoint you, but those cities are all in the US. If you're going to be testing global warming in different climate zones of the world, shouldn't you use cities all over the world, instead of cities in the U.S? (David Sabotta)